Enhancing Modelling Capacity and Toolkits for the Armenian Energy System: Focusing on the Climate-Energy Nexus and Energy Transition
A Modeling Tool for Building Efficiency and Electrical Consumption Scenario Analysis
The group develops a lightweight modelling tool for projecting Armenia’s electricity consumption under different building efficiency standards, producing interpretable scenarios and policy recommendations.
Abstract: A project is proposed to identify determinants of electricity consumption in Armenia through a quantitative model. The goal is to build a scenario analysis tool with robust, highly interpretable results that require less data and are easier to use than existing TIMES-based models. Building efficiency standards provide a highly relevant topic for scenario analysis in the context of electricity consumption and sustainability in Armenia.
To this end, it is proposed to extensively document the current state of legislative norms surrounding construction standards, to analyze possible alternative scenarios using the modeling tool, and to provide policy recommendations based on the results. The research is to result in a publishable paper, a working scenario analysis tool that can provide both standalone insights and hypotheses for checking in more complex models, and policy recommendations for making building standards in Armenia better.
Vincenzo Bianco
Gayane Kolyan
Meri Batikyan
Davit Ispiryan
Tatevik Karapetyan